Fruitful-Application
0x87897df777c800f16b17e5b3319e58d99108b04a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$81.43
Total PnL
$-390.46
Realised
$2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.25
$0.25
- NO
Spain snap election called in 2026?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.69
$3.64
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
527 shares @ 9.4¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.53
$-38.88
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
354 shares @ 4.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.95
$-11.33
- YES
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
1306 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.94
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
164 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-126.42
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
113 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-93.09
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
110 shares @ 73.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.70
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called in 2026?$20.41May 20, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$20.81May 20, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$0.00May 17, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?$0.00May 17, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$0.00May 17, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$0.00May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$6.03May 17, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$39.44May 1, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.28May 1, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$11.31May 1, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.48May 1, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?$7.14May 1, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular win 44+ seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?$41.17May 1, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$3.17Mar 15, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$1.35Mar 15, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$2.50Mar 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$2.50Mar 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$2.50Mar 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$0.14Mar 15, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$0.34Mar 15, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.