Splendid-Gloom
0x878d140e6b67673c44c58cfcca9e9d2949a9c023
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$9.05
Total PnL
$-140.94
Realised
$-1.58
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
9 shares @ 22.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.05
$7.05
- NO
Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?
121 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have between 290-310m views on September 23?
107 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
76 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10AM ET
59 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
47 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 time by September 30?
41 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.72
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
26 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$6.98May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.12May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.73May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.10May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.05May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$16.44May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.08May 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.06May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.08May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.90May 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.13May 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.19May 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.10May 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$10.23May 16, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$0.75Oct 13, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$164.48Oct 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$60.61Oct 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$60.61Oct 13, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".