0x87bc02a35ed5caa5c3c408a92f55050ebecdff29
0x87bc02a35ed5caa5c3c408a92f55050ebecdff29
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$156.46
Total PnL
$-167.68
Realised
$-9.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$60.24
$10.24
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
44 shares @ 4.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$44.00
$41.98
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$37.00
$17.02
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$2.65
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
50 shares @ 48.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-21.45
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
69 shares @ 27.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$-16.36
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
69 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.17
$0.45
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.73
$0.04
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
33 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.68
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
424 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMGalatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5$0.00Mar 11, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?$0.00Mar 11, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)$35.98Mar 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$1.82Mar 8, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$2.00Mar 8, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.79Mar 8, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.73Mar 8, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.69Mar 8, 17:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 8, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$24.32Mar 7, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$39.63Mar 7, 19:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 7, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?$2.63Mar 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.16Mar 6, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.25Mar 6, 03:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$8.76Mar 5, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$11.01Mar 5, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.22Mar 5, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $9.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.