Red-Chaplain
0x87bf63866b50a1c099000b04319c935b28a5a0c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$21.22
Total PnL
$0.66
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.22
$0.22
- NO
E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?
3 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.03
$0.03
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.79
$0.29
- NO
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.63
$0.13
- NO
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-0.06
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.39
$0.04
- NO
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$0.01Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.51Jun 9, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$0.20Jun 9, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.15Jun 6, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.06Jun 4, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$0.60Jun 2, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYE. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?$1.52Jun 2, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYE. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?$1.52Jun 2, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$0.86Jun 2, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$1.51Jun 2, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$3.02Jun 1, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.02May 31, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.27May 24, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.17May 24, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.04May 24, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.15May 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.03May 23, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.37May 23, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$0.17May 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$1.52May 22, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.