Anchored-Pawnshop
0x88361c7a0954f90f80acff8b6b20e172b01366b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$129.96
Total PnL
$-31.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
74 shares @ 68.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.72
$7.72
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
412 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$55.65
$-26.62
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
145 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.4¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$16.58
$-12.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.83May 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$50.00May 11, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$116.28May 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?$10.53May 4, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?$21.28May 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$31.12May 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?$10.02Apr 30, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?$20.05Apr 30, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$165.26Apr 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$20.14Apr 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$20.14Apr 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$5.00Apr 25, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$10.00Apr 25, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$20.00Apr 25, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$10.00Apr 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$10.00Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$10.00Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$50.00Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$52.22Apr 25, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $48.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.