Capital-Root
0x886f03cf944f1b03a0e2954b6127347c56aa6537
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$82.15
Total PnL
$-282.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
23 shares @ 88.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.48
$-1.52
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.54
$7.54
- NO
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.16
$3.16
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$-10.00
- YES
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.67
$1.67
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
79 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.13
$-9.87
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.49
$-6.51
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.21
$-1.79
- YES
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-4.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$49.66May 2, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?$16.39May 2, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$21.28May 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$10.00Feb 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$7.00Feb 13, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.95Feb 13, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?$7.46Feb 13, 20:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$27.29Feb 2, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$5.00Feb 2, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.00Feb 2, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$25.00Feb 2, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$5.00Feb 2, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$9.26Feb 2, 05:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $9.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.