Tedious-Barbecue
0x8890295fb5d2530a023922df767b8b99e5e379bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.4K
Realised
$-10.9K
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
53404 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.5K
- YES
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?
35000 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.1K
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
30005 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?
21446 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
17590 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
California redistricting referendum passes?
16500 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
15000 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
6787 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
4000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-440.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?
3970 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-121.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$177.00Mar 15, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton drop out?$713.82Mar 15, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton drop out?$36.50Mar 15, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton drop out?$5.80Mar 15, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?$818.82Mar 15, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.5KMar 15, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?$0.00Mar 14, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$0.00Mar 14, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?$1.6KMar 14, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$1.8KMar 14, 08:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$372.12Mar 13, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$742.09Mar 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$669.14Mar 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$10.80Mar 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$1.3KMar 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.45Mar 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.45Mar 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.50Mar 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$62.97Mar 13, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $347.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".