Immaculate-Stopwatch
0x88a41bb0ecf3d3d479600b7beadf5fd856896790
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$19.17
Total PnL
$1.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2 shares @ 60.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.65
$0.65
- YES
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Feb 6, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Jan 29, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jan 23, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$1.00Jan 6, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Dec 26, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFootball.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 19, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Dec 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Nov 28, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Corey O'Connor win the 2025 Pittsburgh mayoral election?$1.11Nov 28, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$1.75Nov 28, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$2.25Nov 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.00Nov 21, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$1.00Nov 7, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Oct 31, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$1.00Oct 24, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$1.00Oct 16, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.50 by December 31?$1.22Oct 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$1.00Oct 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.00Sep 25, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".