Red-Riverbed
0x88e912354b7c0d8c204a3f08c0ab7796995cff96
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-10.78
Realised
$0.79
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.11
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 27.6¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in May 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
356 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- T1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NEW YORK METS
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.95May 15, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.90May 8, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.68May 8, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff$1.00Apr 26, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.31Apr 26, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.42Apr 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.00Apr 20, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$0.35Apr 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Apr 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$1.13Apr 19, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 18, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.02Apr 18, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs$1.00Apr 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$0.31Apr 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.25Apr 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$5.23Apr 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Apr 18, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$0.87Apr 18, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 10:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.