Majestic-Polarisation
0x88edbb840c2b36136c85918b5e21f0dbc17a8300
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$551.97
Total PnL
$-958.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19?
259 shares @ 46.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$128.14
$8.14
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
114 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.34
$2.34
- NO
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$109.94
$-0.06
- OVER
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
127 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$65.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?
165 shares @ 39.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$63.63
$-1.37
- CHENGDU RONGCHENG FC
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
107 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$43.93
$-1.07
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
18 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.74
$-0.26
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.25
$-0.75
- OVER
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
314 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-147.61
- OVER
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
241 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-118.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?$66.18May 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)$45.78May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19?$121.93May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYShenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5$65.96May 18, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?$363.64May 17, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?$202.70May 17, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)$45.45May 17, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)$25.34May 16, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 16?$18.43May 16, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?$16.29May 16, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$15.06May 16, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$46.25May 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 16?$15.14May 15, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$10.13May 15, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$15.11May 15, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$58.14May 14, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $49.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".