Chubby-Divider
0x8932c2dcf540dd4d1438943381554812462b3267
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$66.19
Total PnL
$-15.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.50
$12.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
19 shares @ 52.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.37
$2.37
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.02
$1.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
16 shares @ 61.4¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.88
$-1.12
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.37
$-4.63
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$2.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.244h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.154h ago
- REDEEMWill there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$21.7415d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$22.2215d ago
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.8015d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$10.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$5.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$5.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$10.0035d ago
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$10.0050d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$10.0050d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$28.8050d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$43.3350d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.0051d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.2155d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $10.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 55d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
