Wan-Margin
0x89a0115c606c00640ce13da5f66e5891fe7c23b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$73.00
Total PnL
$-38.48
Realised
$0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 89.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.15
$0.15
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.46
$0.46
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
3 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
3 shares @ 95.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$7.38Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$5.11Jun 12, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$3.00Jun 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.02Jun 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.00Jun 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.00Jun 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.00Jun 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$5.01Jun 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$5.00Jun 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$8.42Jun 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$5.30Jun 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$2.10Jun 11, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$5.14Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$2.77Jun 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$3.00Jun 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.00Jun 10, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$5.43Jun 10, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.