Tinted-Sock
0x8a17fe2942f4bc45269961228fc65535ce1e2560
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-34.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1582 shares @ 66.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.4K
$365.62
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
737 shares @ 81.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$666.68
$66.68
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
414 shares @ 72.5¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$306.60
$6.60
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
461 shares @ 43.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$237.62
$37.62
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
241 shares @ 82.9¢·now 86.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$208.91
$8.91
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
256 shares @ 78.2¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$167.54
$-32.46
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
191 shares @ 76.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$159.48
$12.52
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.15
$20.15
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
133 shares @ 74.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$90.75
$-9.25
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.78
$-12.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$101.26Jun 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$100.50Jun 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$101.25Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$211.01Jun 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$31.13Jun 10, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.19Jun 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$201.37Jun 8, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$229.89Jun 8, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$437.52Jun 8, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.98Jun 1, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$70.68Jun 1, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$100.96Jun 1, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$278.56Jun 1, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$201.04May 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$101.12May 27, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.00May 27, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$387.31May 27, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$202.23May 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$345.76May 27, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$305.81May 27, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $164.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.