Unused-Trench
0x8a80ef55687f695a335880fefd43c1cee56d62f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
1393 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
663 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
391 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$4.19Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?$4.16Apr 28, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$8.12Apr 28, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.14Apr 28, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$7.35Apr 28, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00Apr 25, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 25, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Apr 25, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.00Apr 25, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$5.00Apr 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$4.00Apr 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.00Apr 25, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$5.00Apr 25, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$10.00Apr 25, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$7.00Apr 25, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$10.00Apr 25, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.