Artistic-Panic
0x8ab17d9b8a5d68383d0fd2c35b5d5307dc445ae4
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$403.95
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$68.24
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?
166 shares @ 29.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$138.88
$89.88
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
99 shares @ 39.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$91.25
$52.03
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
75 shares @ 24.0¢·now 88.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$66.71
$48.71
- NO
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
67 shares @ 43.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$37.43
$8.43
- NO
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?
217 shares @ 20.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.51
$-25.49
- NO
Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.75
$-31.25
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
219 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.34
$-8.66
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.86
$-13.14
- NO
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 27.2¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.25
$-1.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?$21.10Jul 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$3.15Jul 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 19, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 19, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?$26.40Jul 19, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.86Jul 19, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?$3.00Jul 19, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.53Jul 19, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?$21.23Jul 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?$31.85Jul 19, 03:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.81Jul 11, 21:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$10.20Jul 7, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $13.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.