Yellow-Pompom
0x8acf63b7342e9f535cca5c29466c288601142f7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$14.27
Total PnL
$-16.23
Realised
$17.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DUNE 3
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
378 shares @ 12.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$11.53
$-34.21
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.75
$0.58
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran strike on US military by February 28?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by December 31?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Cup?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$52.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMJaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$0.00Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$240.13Apr 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$27.59Apr 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$54.02Apr 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$120.89Apr 23, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$14.60Apr 12, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$14.60Apr 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$654.08Apr 11, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $208.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.