Legal-Trader-Hardening
0x8adc48261e878ffb6fb85baa9f0d3a89d2885486
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$90.59
Total PnL
$-27.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
73 shares @ 82.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.79
$3.79
- NO
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
9 shares @ 63.6¢·now 74.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.99
$0.99
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 84.1¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 17.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.22May 18, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.70May 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.22May 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.02May 17, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.02May 17, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$4.41May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.01May 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$2.02May 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.01May 15, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.01May 15, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$1.02May 15, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.01May 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$1.01May 15, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.12May 12, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$6.14May 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 10, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?$1.00May 10, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$1.02May 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$2.02May 10, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".