Beneficial-Tote
0x8b16062ee636906fecc9fb071291182f07e4961f
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$7.6K
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$270.83
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7999 shares @ 56.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.8K
$303.89
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
5000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.5K
$-107.50
- NO
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
692 shares @ 41.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$411.48
$121.38
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
400 shares @ 88.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$288.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
564 shares @ 51.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$282.07
$-8.44
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
365 shares @ 34.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$222.91
$95.40
- NO
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
355 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$33.72
$-8.87
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?
434 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.11
$-3.26
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5500 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-601.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5500 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-921.49
Recent activity
- REWARD$120.72Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$141.09Jul 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$46.40Jul 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?$22.63Jul 22, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.8KJul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.40Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.75Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$43.80Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$45.00Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$120.00Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?$0.43Jul 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?$453.21Jul 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?$455.55Jul 22, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.64Jul 22, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.98Jul 22, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.98Jul 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.40Jul 22, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.57Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$117.08Jul 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.00Jul 22, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $94.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.