Jagged-Palm
0x8b226fa5c9a6ab62d8c8b190068b5a6081be47a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$945.07
Total PnL
$48.12
Realised
$97.00
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
253 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.92
$13.82
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 49.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$186.25
$62.36
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
981 shares @ 16.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.45
$16.40
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
104 shares @ 71.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.17
$14.09
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$79.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.50
$23.50
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
422 shares @ 13.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.94
$-18.12
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.99
$13.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.00
$1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$37.50Jun 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$0.40Jun 12, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$4.43Jun 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$55.00Jun 12, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$0.03Jun 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$35.02Jun 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$2.52Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$86.93Jun 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$51.07Jun 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$11.00Jun 10, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$31.00Jun 9, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$11.00Jun 9, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$7.05Jun 8, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$14.31Jun 8, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$5.14Jun 8, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$22.50Jun 8, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$23.00Jun 8, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$28.00Jun 1, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$34.00Jun 1, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.50Jun 1, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.