Complete-Yacht
0x8b479874e0ef3cec5a9600b00b27e5e35a1aa4a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.75
Total PnL
$9.59
Realised
$11.67
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 85.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.98
$0.72
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 27.8¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.39
$-0.17
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 8.7¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.38
$0.12
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?
34 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?$1.86May 26, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?$0.89May 26, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$96.39Apr 27, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$33.87Apr 27, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$129.50Apr 26, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$118.05Apr 24, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$68.08Apr 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$48.09Apr 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?$127.63Apr 23, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?$130.31Apr 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.59Apr 22, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$49.80Apr 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 21, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$54.60Apr 21, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$38.34Apr 20, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$101.91Apr 20, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$137.08Apr 20, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$137.57Apr 19, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$136.04Apr 18, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$44.08Apr 18, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
8/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $246.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.