Long-Term-Ox
0x8bbccbf41090778349442d6f4b60e05f7604e540
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$45.29
Total PnL
$-85.18
Realised
$26.75
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
50 shares @ 54.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.25
$-13.95
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$0.65
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.45
$1.35
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.70
$0.07
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.38
$1.13
- YES
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-0.24
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.82
- NO
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 24.1¢·now 12.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.58
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.21
$-1.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$5.00Apr 3, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Apr 3, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West release an album in 2026?$5.00Mar 29, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMKang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? $10.00Mar 7, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 2, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$10.00Mar 1, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$10.00Mar 1, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonus Wagner card sale >$6 million?$1.20Feb 22, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonus Wagner card sale >$5 million?$1.20Feb 21, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$5.00Feb 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$3.25Feb 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? $1.40Feb 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$2.05Feb 4, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$1.82Feb 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$4.00Feb 2, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$10.00Feb 2, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$5.00Feb 2, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.60Feb 1, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.00Feb 1, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.