0x8bbfe8b0053e62431fb848e0e78a0748f77500c8
0x8bbfe8b0053e62431fb848e0e78a0748f77500c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$19.45
Total PnL
$-23.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$12.95
$-1.05
- YES
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
26 shares @ 7.6¢·now 4.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
135 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$-16.46
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-1.65
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.15
$-1.85
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" this week?$14.18Jun 12, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00Jun 6, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00Jun 6, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.00Jun 6, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 6, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?$2.08May 4, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$2.07May 4, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00May 4, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in April 2026?$0.00May 4, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.00May 4, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?$0.00May 4, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.00Apr 24, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 22?$0.00Apr 24, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.10Apr 22, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 21?$0.00Apr 22, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00Apr 22, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.