Fine-Gauge
0x8bc8913d23cd5cf3561a512980ffedb411a4dce4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$41.64
Total PnL
$-29.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 91.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.37
$-0.08
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.12
$0.27
- NO
Will Senne Lammens win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 98.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.33
$-0.12
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.89
$0.04
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 94.1¢·now 91.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.85
$-0.10
- YES
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 24.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.48
$-1.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.37
$-0.10
- YES
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.34
$0.03
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$0.02
- NO
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senne Lammens win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.45Jun 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.46Jun 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1.56Jun 12, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.85Jun 12, 18:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.32Jun 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$4.96Jun 11, 09:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1.75Jun 8, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1.75Jun 8, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.72Jun 8, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.37Jun 8, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$4.91Jun 8, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs$4.93Jun 8, 18:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.