Mushy-Starboard
0x8c196ca52114ed16b3f0c3dd32aea0707ada77cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$684.24
Realised
$18.14
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
785 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$785.00
$125.81
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
668 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$668.00
$86.84
- NO
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
657 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$657.00
$144.54
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
1157 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$578.50
$-11.57
- CLEMSON TIGERS
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
936 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$468.00
$0.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
460 shares @ 26.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$460.00
$337.64
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
195 shares @ 37.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$185.25
$113.10
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$16.23
$4.50
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.87
$1.97
- NO
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$99.44Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$581.16Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$99.44Apr 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts$468.00Apr 23, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$269.37Apr 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$110.96Apr 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$29.93Apr 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$99.28Apr 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$274.72Apr 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$115.63Apr 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$249.24Apr 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$324.80Apr 10, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$51.84Apr 10, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$243.78Apr 10, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$278.46Apr 10, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$67.83Apr 10, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$5.16Apr 10, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.00Apr 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$88.00Apr 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026?$48.72Apr 9, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $178.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.