Expensive-Workout
0x8ce60e50bbb1783a546ea2b045dc690819a049c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.60
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$9.13
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.60
$-2.44
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
3333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
2000 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-314.88
- NO
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
1120 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-428.88
- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
446 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-32.31
- YES
Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?
362 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-20.73
- YES
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?
350 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-13.17
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
300 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-153.30
- NO
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?
255 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-122.99
- NO
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$94.66Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$93.00Jun 12, 09:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.31Jun 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum flipped in 2026?$91.67Jun 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum flipped in 2026?$8.33Jun 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum flipped in 2026?$25.00Jun 5, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$216.27May 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$63.61May 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$64.80May 25, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$47.55May 25, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$153.30May 23, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$124.00May 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.11May 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.25May 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?$14.10May 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?$7.05May 21, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?$68.75May 20, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?$35.10May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?$13.15May 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$101.46May 18, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $57.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.