0x8d2e777cbe11109c8afe52438f881b5d5441f022
0x8d2e777cbe11109c8afe52438f881b5d5441f022
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$174.31
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?
172 shares @ 23.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$171.52
$131.19
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
206 shares @ 34.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.75
$58.34
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
82 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.30
$5.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 3?
69 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$69.08
$11.88
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 43.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.58
$3.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
48 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.87
$4.12
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
176 shares @ 8.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.47
$27.35
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.14
$7.15
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
35 shares @ 56.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.99
$14.17
- YES
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
31 shares @ 65.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$30.72
$10.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$22.22Jun 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027?$14.91Jun 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$14.99Jun 13, 08:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$14.89Jun 12, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$9.93Jun 12, 06:49 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10?$28.84Jun 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.61Jun 11, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.96Jun 11, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$2.40Jun 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.96Jun 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.96Jun 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.53Jun 11, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$1.47Jun 11, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$1.96Jun 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.43Jun 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.72Jun 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?$0.72Jun 11, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.