Periodic-Civilization
0x8d6769032f179bd23960fb070d42af689a935b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$13.19
Total PnL
$-44.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 23?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.30Jan 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$1.00Jan 23, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?$3.42Jan 23, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by January 31?$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win less than 10% of votes in the first round?$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 21, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25?$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Jan 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of January?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 23?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 20, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.