Round-Vacation
0x8db5bfb848ee6745c475df375bd0c983468bfa3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$315.69
Realised
$-17.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2579 shares @ 85.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$359.25
- NO
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
163 shares @ 74.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.64
$-8.96
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.55
$-5.45
- NO
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
3 shares @ 92.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.20
$0.19
- YES
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
38 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$1.37
$0.04
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.43
$-11.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.1KJun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.2KJun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$280.00May 22, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$858.37May 22, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$100.00May 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.9KMay 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$956.48May 22, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.9KMay 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.2KMay 21, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$300.00May 20, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$550.00May 20, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$750.00May 19, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.6KMay 19, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1000.00May 16, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1000.00May 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.5KMay 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1000.00May 16, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$4.6KMay 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$4.2KMay 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.0KMay 11, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.