Taut-Dogwood
0x8debd189ffd74160f25e367bafaed61a9fea7062
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$58.0K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$253.41
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
14401 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.3K
$505.97
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
11676 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.6K
$271.43
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
10020 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.0K
$264.65
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
9963 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.9K
$469.50
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
4932 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.9K
$138.04
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
4412 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.4K
$14.84
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
518 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$511.82
$2.36
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
391 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$375.54
$12.31
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
348 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$345.96
$3.17
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
326 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$321.38
$3.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$98.50Jun 13, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$122.77Jun 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$25.58Jun 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$9.90Jun 12, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$58.11Jun 12, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$107.96Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$7.52Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$25.94Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$89.96Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.85Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$88.65Jun 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$106.41Jun 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?$1.5KJun 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$19.79Jun 12, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$19.79Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$19.79Jun 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$93.05Jun 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$132.78Jun 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$88.04Jun 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$9.62Jun 12, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $133.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.