0x8e31e8ea3246fe83a3beac4c5575b4bcca0dfd1a
0x8e31e8ea3246fe83a3beac4c5575b4bcca0dfd1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$82.97
Total PnL
$-12.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
44 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$44.21
$10.61
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
35 shares @ 48.6¢·now 26.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.27
$-7.64
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.62
$3.62
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 26.1¢·now 23.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.42
$-0.58
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.79
$-1.21
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
14 shares @ 35.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.95
$-2.05
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.37
$-2.63
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.33
$-3.67
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-4.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$34.09Jun 9, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$7.46Jun 3, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$21.17Jun 1, 04:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.16May 15, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 15, 08:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $7.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.