0x8ec7c56c0668ce5e2f461045e6c6b798e19fbbcb
0x8ec7c56c0668ce5e2f461045e6c6b798e19fbbcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$36.05
Total PnL
$-270.53
Realised
$-0.52
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
12 shares @ 61.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.61
$1.11
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
8 shares @ 73.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.74
$0.74
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
21 shares @ 36.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.52
$-1.98
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.34
$0.84
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$0.26
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.66
$0.16
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.58
$0.08
- NO
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
2 shares @ 82.7¢·now 85.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$0.05
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.52
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.85Jun 1, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$4.83Jun 1, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$0.03May 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.50May 29, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$1.25May 29, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.50May 29, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.01May 28, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.50May 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$1.60May 27, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$1.50May 27, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.26May 27, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$1.50May 27, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.52May 27, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.50May 27, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.52May 27, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.50May 25, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".