Cloudy-Bride
0x8ee557f32d5f60b79f71f43459c8e6aa2066907f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$52.88
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-330.75
Win rate
0%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- NEW YORK YANKEES
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
41 shares @ 61.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 29, 2026$23.47
$-1.43
- CINCINNATI REDS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$10.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
7 shares @ 93.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.24
$0.24
- MAYWEATHER
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
9 shares @ 67.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.52
$-1.48
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
103 shares @ 7.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.95
$-4.05
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.41
$-1.59
- YES
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
624 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- BULLS
Nuggets vs. Bulls
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Thunder
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Clippers
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.82Aug 4, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$21.74Aug 4, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$23.19Aug 4, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$50.05Aug 4, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)$19.23Jul 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.80Jul 15, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$50.00Jul 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces$18.18Jul 15, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$18.80Jul 15, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-14?$33.90Jul 15, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$18.07Jul 13, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.06Jul 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)$10.24Jul 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)$10.24Jul 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLB All-Star Game$10.22Jul 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$10.23Jul 13, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces$10.22Jul 13, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$20.64Jul 13, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$20.41Jul 13, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 9?$20.02Jul 12, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
62/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 94 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
94 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.