0x8f32153af3d790d87e437f0247c0bfcb7a37cf5f
0x8f32153af3d790d87e437f0247c0bfcb7a37cf5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$5.22
Total PnL
$0.44
Realised
$0.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sayf win Sanremo 2026?$0.00Mar 2, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$2.85Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?$3.95Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$4.05Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$3.40Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$4.10Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$0.04Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?$0.06Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$2.29Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$3.90Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sayf win Sanremo 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sayf win Sanremo 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$0.00Mar 1, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$3.31Feb 28, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.00Feb 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Feb 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Feb 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.00Feb 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.