Stained-Winery
0x8f525273bb48c9d8a5cedafa31acc9072357a35a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$98.58
Total PnL
$-831.79
Realised
$-3.85
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
102 shares @ 90.2¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.84
$1.86
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.36
$-0.48
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.95
$0.11
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.49
$0.00
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.38
$-0.17
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.30
$0.14
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
6 shares @ 20.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-1.03
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.17
- YES
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.07
- YES
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
939 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-187.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$21.32Apr 27, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$74.36Apr 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$183.96Apr 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$135.11Apr 21, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?$2.48Apr 8, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.00Apr 8, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$333.00Apr 8, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$983.00Apr 8, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$182.28Mar 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$273.17Mar 11, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$231.21Mar 11, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$217.35Mar 11, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$234.36Mar 11, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$261.34Mar 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$7.10Mar 10, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD.AI launch a token by March 31?$68.40Mar 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$191.52Mar 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD.AI launch a token by March 31?$54.00Mar 6, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$257.76Mar 6, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$221.92Mar 6, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $129.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.