Liquid-Comment
0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-312.0K
Realised
$-204.08
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-50.00
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
11690 shares @ 14.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$993.65
$-655.59
- YES
Megaquake by June 30?
10556 shares @ 19.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$580.57
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
4613 shares @ 12.9¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$507.47
$-87.71
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
15842 shares @ 8.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$411.89
$-958.34
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
7955 shares @ 46.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$389.82
$-3.3K
- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
11817 shares @ 37.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$295.43
$-4.1K
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
30804 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$231.03
$-2.7K
- YES
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
4202 shares @ 13.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.21
$-357.09
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6803 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$172.80
$-27.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CD Ñublense win on 2026-06-13?$507.50Jun 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-06-13?$793.97Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14?$545.02Jun 13, 08:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$122.92Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$274.54Jun 12, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$264.45Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$238.28Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12?$558.61Jun 12, 07:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$84.00Jun 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$1.3KJun 11, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?$60.22Jun 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$60.25Jun 11, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$136.28Jun 11, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?$12.56Jun 11, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$72.60Jun 11, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$113.81Jun 11, 09:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5$600.00Jun 10, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $219.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.