Fickle-Honesty
0x8ff3b847a78f484c8facc2ec1a82199db14313c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$102.52
Total PnL
$0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
29 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$29.08
$0.09
- NO
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$18.15
$0.05
- NO
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.20
$0.03
- NO
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$15.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$12.02
$0.02
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$17.17Apr 29, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$18.10Apr 29, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$11.00Apr 29, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$18.12Apr 29, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$27.87Apr 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$29.00Apr 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$16.70Apr 26, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$11.00Apr 26, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$12.00Apr 26, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$9.43Apr 26, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?$27.70Apr 26, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$18.00Apr 25, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?$15.03Apr 25, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 24?$36.27Apr 25, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?$27.60Apr 24, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$9.40Apr 24, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 24?$36.20Apr 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?$15.00Apr 23, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?$13.23Apr 23, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$18.10Apr 23, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $20.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.