Famous-Present
0x907abd049c85cd9dbaaefad4b6fd5a41ec01206e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.79
Realised
$-1.59
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1860 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
910 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
761 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
367 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
220 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.00May 4, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.74May 4, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 1, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 1, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 1, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.04Apr 30, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Apr 30, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.17Apr 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$4.90Apr 30, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.87Apr 30, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.14Apr 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Apr 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04Apr 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.05Apr 30, 15:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.35Apr 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Apr 28, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24?$0.00Apr 28, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?$0.00Apr 28, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.