Joint-Partner
0x90a8d5f423e515c1e9b34b18dba94bfb44cced23
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$86.81
Total PnL
$-96.62
Realised
$1.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
73 shares @ 42.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.28
$23.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
9 shares @ 34.9¢·now 64.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.55
$2.55
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.59
$-0.41
- YES
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
24 shares @ 65.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$3.76
$-12.24
- YES
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.68
$-9.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$5.08Jul 29, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$12.91Jul 29, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$2.02Jul 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$3.04Jul 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$3.14Jul 28, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$8.35Jul 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$4.00Jul 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?$5.03Jul 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$1.03Jul 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$4.00Jul 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.51Jul 20, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$3.00Jul 9, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$5.11Jul 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$10.00Jul 8, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$9.09Jul 8, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$8.75Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$11.16Jul 7, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.08Jul 6, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$2.06Jul 3, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$10.09Jul 2, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.