Indelible-Improvement
0x90f444f7c4a08fdc601bc9657d56ac9e656e98e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$43.46
Realised
$42.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1203 shares @ 76.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$920.31
$0.31
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
622 shares @ 54.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$395.11
$55.11
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
492 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$297.54
$-2.46
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
375 shares @ 61.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.59
$19.59
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
227 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.37
$11.37
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.17
$5.17
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$100.66
$0.66
- NO
Iran coup attempt by December 31?
115 shares @ 87.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
111 shares @ 89.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$97.93
$-2.07
- YES
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
119 shares @ 58.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$83.53
$13.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.40Jul 22, 14:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$203.12Jul 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$100.00Jul 19, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$200.00Jul 19, 18:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.56Jul 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$646.77Jul 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$10.00Jul 17, 12:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $255.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.