Grouchy-Polenta
0x913c3f6d92acb3eacd6ea2df96011ad2799b3fb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$42.80
Total PnL
$-6.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
58 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?
29 shares @ 17.1¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
79 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.34
$-0.66
- NO
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$2.08May 17, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$1.04May 17, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$1.00May 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.01May 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$1.02May 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro guilty of all counts?$1.00May 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$1.02May 17, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.04May 17, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.03May 17, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.04May 17, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$1.01May 17, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?$1.05May 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?$5.21May 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?$1.04May 17, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.02May 17, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 17?$1.04May 17, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 17?$1.03May 17, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?$1.03May 17, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.00May 17, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".