Luxurious-Tan
0x91461eb306ac9b78d76484af07007edbbbea335a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$978.70
Total PnL
$-620.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
400 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$400.00
$14.00
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
351 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$198.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$148.20
$-9.80
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
100 shares @ 82.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$99.99
$17.80
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
89 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$75.73
$7.53
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
60 shares @ 91.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.57
$2.02
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
999 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-199.80
- NO
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
467 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Canada recession in 2025?
466 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-136.98
- 25 BPS CUT
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
350 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-39.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $110.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.