0x9161bc7c5d84379ac9d33f764a2e03139d5efb65
0x9161bc7c5d84379ac9d33f764a2e03139d5efb65
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$46.56
Total PnL
$-3.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026?
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$7.89
$0.79
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 22 above $350?
7 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$6.82
$0.55
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on June 29?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$5.00
$1.10
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$1.10
- YES
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,080 Week of June 22 2026?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$5.00
$2.70
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$5.00
$2.30
- YES
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,110 Week of June 22 2026?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$5.00
$1.60
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Micron (MU) Up or Down on July 6?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.60
$0.15
- NO
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.25
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicron (MU) Up or Down on July 6?$1.45Jul 3, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?$4.00Jul 3, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$7.24Jul 1, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$0.00Jul 1, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$6.57Jul 1, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$0.00Jul 1, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 1?$0.00Jul 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 1?$4.07Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 1?$3.30Jul 1, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon acquire TikTok?$0.00Jul 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon acquire TikTok?$0.00Jul 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?$0.00Jul 1, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?$0.00Jul 1, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$0.00Jun 30, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$0.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in June?$0.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in June?$0.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?$0.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.