Orderly-Encirclement
0x929b5a1b06f46023605822a36cfc99ee52942205
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$232.59
Total PnL
$-49.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
33 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.30
$0.30
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.01
$1.01
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.95
$2.95
- NO
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.16
$1.16
- NO
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
34 shares @ 62.6¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.82
$-10.34
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.30
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$10.00Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$10.00Jun 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$6.04Jun 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.00Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?$1.00Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$20.00Jun 12, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$30.00Jun 12, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$15.18Jun 10, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$10.00Jun 6, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$18.90Jun 6, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: May$4.05Jun 3, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.81Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$15.64Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$3.61Jun 1, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$11.38Jun 1, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.00May 29, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$21.90May 28, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$4.67May 28, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$4.94May 28, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?$1.02May 28, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.