Orderly-Encirclement
0x929b5a1b06f46023605822a36cfc99ee52942205
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$240.61
Total PnL
$-55.72
Realised
$-7.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
69 shares @ 43.4¢·now 35.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.52
$-5.48
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
24 shares @ 84.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.32
$1.32
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.05
$1.05
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.45
$0.45
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.31
$-5.69
- NO
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$10.62
$0.62
- NO
Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
11 shares @ 94.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 10, 2026$10.49
$0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.954h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$15.494h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.264h ago
- TRADEBUYWill James Comey be arrested before 2027?$10.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill John Kerry be arrested before 2027?$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill James Comey be arrested before 2027?$3.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by June 30?$10.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$5.865h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$11.755h ago
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$5.955h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$10.755h ago
- TRADESELLWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$2.906d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$5.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$10.008d ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$20.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$10.008d ago
- REDEEMWill 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$1.298d ago
- REDEEMHungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?$23.1615d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 37d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".