Hearty-Raiment
0x92a9e1542e612c5b3295d92c729b8ca1b67325e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.38
Total PnL
$-186.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.38
$-4.63
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
151 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?
31 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.30
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$140.00Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$24.06Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$136.36Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$22.57May 28, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$120.00May 28, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$41.11May 28, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$42.71May 28, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$58.82May 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$41.00May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$33.05May 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$8.02May 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$40.08May 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$22.49May 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$20.28May 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$24.05May 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMOneFootball FDV above $2B one day after launch?$16.82May 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$21.26May 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$29.99May 12, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $30.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.