Positive-Bag
0x92da8b0ed22d942c4079beb0f4f8b6e9bf042425
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$8.92
Total PnL
$-17.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 88.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.16
$0.13
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.72
$0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.55
$-0.02
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$-0.09
- YES
FDA approves Telix Pharmaceuticals’ TLX250-CDx for kidney cancer imaging?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.91
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?
2 shares @ 75.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
- NO
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- NO
Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?$1.57Jun 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.69Jun 5, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$1.58May 30, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$0.85May 30, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko$1.66May 29, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko$1.48May 22, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.86May 15, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.81May 15, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.85May 9, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$1.64May 9, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.85May 2, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.72May 2, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$2.27May 2, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?$0.00Apr 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.58Apr 24, 14:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.37Apr 24, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.50Apr 22, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Apr 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$1.86Apr 16, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$1.58Apr 9, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $196.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.