Delicious-Parsley
0x9345c6a7aca8c3a28fc314e295bb93b458fdbc41
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.98
Realised
$-1.99
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
917 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
689 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
270 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.00Jun 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.03Jun 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.04Jun 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$1.03Jun 21, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 21, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$1.04Jun 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 21, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$0.00May 31, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.04May 31, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.00May 31, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.07May 31, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.06May 31, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00May 31, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.07May 31, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00May 14, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.10May 14, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.00May 14, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.00May 14, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.07May 14, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 14:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.