Honorable-Tree
0x936f23f7444abe090b6bf525fdb766edf498b1b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$21.40
Total PnL
$-7.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
6 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.21
$0.01
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.37
$-0.03
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the most valuable company on October 31?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will AICO win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
298 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$6.00Jul 22, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.90Jul 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?$4.20Jul 21, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$2.40Jul 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.00Jul 17, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.60Jul 17, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$178.03Jul 4, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $700 in July?$1.30Jul 3, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$1.41Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$1.40Jun 28, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.81Jun 28, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.80Jun 26, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$177.52Jun 7, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?$2.11Jun 2, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$166.23Jun 1, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.91Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$7.52May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$165.46May 30, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$5.11May 30, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.76May 30, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $35.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.