Respectful-Finer
0x93b875387dad28211a726a2f9b488cb388fafe3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$55.33
Total PnL
$-64.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
64 shares @ 39.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$38.78
$13.78
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
58 shares @ 42.8¢·now 24.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.05
$-10.95
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1458 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.90
- NO
Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?
28 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
17 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$123.60Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$58.14Jun 1, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.14May 23, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$110.48May 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$10.17May 17, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 17, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$135.38May 17, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25.61May 13, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25.57May 13, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$20.98May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$15.35May 13, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$76.67May 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$10.36May 13, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$50.35May 13, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $32.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.