Stiff-Butane
0x93d25e59aaf467ff55aa159072fafbdcb9545e60
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$35.19
Total PnL
$-701.85
Realised
$21.03
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
35 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
27 shares @ 25.9¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
146 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.0312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.0312h ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$11.7812h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$5.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$1.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$1.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$1.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$10.3612h ago
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.0612h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$102.0312h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$112.3113h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.0813h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.5213h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$31.0713h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$100.7713h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.7413h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$121.3613h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$101.5413h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$22.8113h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $40.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13h ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
