0x9407f7c05c31098c133b6cc3086d33cc193328ed
0x9407f7c05c31098c133b6cc3086d33cc193328ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.86May 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.90May 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.98May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.99May 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$2.66May 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$2.97May 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.33May 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.57May 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.99May 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00May 14, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$1.83May 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00May 14, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.00May 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00May 14, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMSet 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderi$0.00May 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 14, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderi$1.03May 13, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderi$2.06May 13, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.